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10/20/09
1. Hollidaysburg, 4-3, 480 points The Golden Tigers beat Cardozo out of Washington, D.C. last week
and picked up ten more points than originally thought because the team actually had two wins previously, not one as was reported.
So they got 100 from the head-to-head win and another 10 from the guaranteed game of Central Mountain and Bellefonte as those
were two teams they already beat.
This week: Hollidaysburg is at Cedar Cliff, a 3-AAAA team out of the
Mid Penn Conference. A win would net the Golden Tigers a whooping 160 points, 120 for beating a Quad-A team and another
40 bonus points for CC's previous 4 wins. In games involving prior wins, they have another ten points guaranteed as
Indian Valley and Central Mountain play one another. Bellefonte is at Penns Valley and Cardozo plays fellow DC school
Roosevelt.
MAX POINTS for Hollidaysburg to pick up this week would be 190, 160 for beating Cedar Cliff, 10 guaranteed
from the CM/Indian Valley game, 10 if Bellefonte beats Penns Valley and 10 if Cardozo beats Roosevelt.
2. Johnstown,
4-3, 340 points The Trojans only picked up ten points last week as they got the guaranteed 10 points in the Somerset/Bishop
Carroll contest.
This week: Johnstown plays 3-4 Bishop Guilfoyle, a Class A team. They would pick up 90
points should they beat the Marauders. 60 for the win and 30 bonus points for the prior three BG wins. In games
involving teams that the Trojans have beaten, there are ten guaranteed points on the table as Cambria Heights and Bishop Carroll
play one another. Westmont is at Bedford and Somerset is at Penn Cambria.
MAX POINTS for Johnstown to
pick up this week would be 120. 90 for beating BG, 10 guaranteed no matter who wins between BC and Cambria Heights,
10 if Westmont beats Bedford and 10 if Somerset beats Penn Cambria .
3. Bellefonte, 1-6, 110 points The
Red Raiders lost their head-to-head contest and picked up no bonus points.
This week: Bellefonte takes
on Penns Valley this week. PV is a AA team with a 1-6 record so this is a game they actually could win. They would
pick up 90 points, 80 for the head-to-head win and 10 for PV's previous one victory. In bonus points, Brookville will
take on Keystone (5-2).
MAX POINTS for Bellefonte to pick up this week would be 100, 90 if they beat Penns Valley
and 10 if Brookville beat Keystone.
4. Indian Valley, 1-6, 110 points The Warriors lost
their head-to-head contest and picked up no bonus points.
This week: IV takes on Central Mountain,
a 6-AAAA team with a 4-3 record. A win here would net the Warriors 160 points, 120 for beating a Quad-A team and 40
bonus points for CM's previous four victories. In bonus points, West Perry takes on East Pennsboro (2-5).
MAX POINTS for IV to pick up this week would be 170, 160 if they win head-to-head with Central Mountain and another 10 if West
Perry should take on East Pennsboro.
ANALYSIS: With the bottom two teams both 1-6 and essentially out of the running, it really continues
to be a two-horse race between the Golden Tigers and the Trojans. Bellefonte is actually eliminated because they have
a school policy that they have to finish above .500 in order to participate in the playoffs. It is unknown at this time
whether Indian Valley has a similar policy.
PROJECTIONS FOR AFTER WEEK 8: We'll see how right/wrong
I was next week at this time, but here is what I predict the 6-AAA standings will look like next week:
1.
Hollidaysburg, 4-4, 500 points: I think Cedar Cliff is a team that could cause Hollidaysburg problems, look for the
Golden Tigers to only get the bonus points from Cardozo, Bellefonte and the Indian Valley/Central Mountain game.
2.
Johnstown, 5-3, 440 points: the Trojans will win against Bishop Guilfoyle and pick up the guaranteed points from the
Cambria Heights/Bishop Carroll game.
3. Bellefonte, 2-6, 210 points: although the Red Raiders
are eliminated from postseason play, pride is on the line and I see them beating Penns Valley.
4.
Indian Valley, 1-7, 110 points: IV will pick up nothing this week.

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